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Southern Africa: The APEC Climate Outlook for November 2015 – April 2016

Written by Janice M on . Posted in Water & Environmental

Source: APEC Climate Center, 26 October 2015

Source: APEC Climate Center, 26 October 2015

The latest model forecasts from the APEC Climate Center (situated in Korea) show the high probability that the above normal temperature anomaly, along with above normal rainfall (the largest green patch in the featured map) above the tropical Pacific ocean is expected to prevail. This is consistent with the strengthening El Nino.

The forecasts for November – April 2016 suggest persistence of the El Nino episode with a belt of above-normal rainfall in the equatorial Pacific, surrounded by areas of below normal precipitation. Below normal precipitation is probable over the equatorial Atlantic, the region around the Southern tip of South America and Southern Africa.

So, basically, they predict more rain in the middle of the Pacific Ocean and less rain in Southern Africa, along with higher temperatures!

See Temperature Outlook Map (very similar to Precipitation Map) and more detail at the APEC Climate Center website

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